As seen at Pickinsplinters.com
By: Joe Manganiello
STAFF WRITER
5. Cleveland Cavilers (’11-’12 record: 21-45)
Best player:
Kyrie Irving did not just silence any doubters heading into his rookie campaign, he eliminated them. Irving might be the best number one overall selection since Derrick Rose in 2008, showing poise and efficiency that John Wall and Blake Griffin, despite their obvious talents, have not consistently brought to the table.
While Wall was the league’s worst three-point shooter last season and incredibly erratic with the basketball, Irving posted polished shooting splits of .469/.399/.872 while besting Wall by nearly a full turnover per game. Yes, Blake Griffin has averaged 21, 11 and 3 in his first two seasons, numbers that first-year Irving simply can not compete with. But Griffin also cannot shoot free throws, does not block shots or collect steals particularly well and turns the ball over far too much for a power forward.
Irving is an ideal guard to build around, both on and off the court. He is probably only a year or two away from all-star contention.
Starting lineup:
The Cavaliers will trot out Anderson Varejao for the ninth season and he will be the opening day starting center for the third consecutive season. Varejao, when healthy, can be highly effective as both a rebounder and a finisher around the basket. The issue with the Brazilian is keeping him on the court, as he has missed over 62 percent of the team’s games since the ’10-’11 season. With rookies Tyler Zeller and Micheal Eric as the only true centers behind Varejao, it is essential the veteran stay healthy all season long.
The only other guaranteed starter for Cleveland is second-year player Tristan Thompson. He averaged 8.2 ppg and 6.5 rpg last season in 23 minutes, but he averaged 9.6 ppg and 7.4 rpg in 27.6 minutes per game during April last season. The Cavs will need him to replace veteran Antwan Jamison in the offense, which means Thompson will have to give the team more field goal attempts and points.
The wing positions will be made up of five players: Alonzo Gee, Omri Casspi, C.J. Miles, Daniel Gibson and Dion Waiters. Gee and Miles appear to be the starters for the Cavs out of the gate, but all five will get plenty of action. Gee is coming off of his best season as a pro, averaging 10.6 ppg and 5.1 rpg. He is not a great shooter or playmaker, but has earned a reputation as a plus-defender. Miles comes from the other end of the spectrum; he is the team’s best shooter but provides little else.
Bench:
Lottery pick Dion Waiters will play the sixth man role that he thrived in at Syracuse University. Waiters has great quickness and can score in spurts, which could make him deadly as a weapon off the bench for head coach Byron Scott at either guard spot. Waiters will be among the team leaders in points this year and will see plenty of minutes.
Whether or not below average guards Donald Sloan and Jeremy Pargo make the final roster, whatever bench minutes in the backcourt Waiters does not gobble up will be handed to Daniel Gibson. Entering his seventh season with the Cavs, Gibson’s experience, underrated three-point shot and low turnover numbers all point to him being an ideal backup guard behind Irving. The guard trio of Irving/Waiters/Gibson will be amongst the best in the eastern conference.
Casspi will see minutes behind Gee, looking to return to form from behind the arc. He shot .372 in ’10-’11 but just .315 last season. If Casspi can shore up his below average free throw shooting and continue to be an effective rebounder, he will earn the roughly 24 minutes per game he has averaged for his career.
In the frontcourt, Zeller will be the primary backup for Varejao at center. At power forward, Samardo Samuels will make the roster and see the floor night in and night out, if for no other reason other than potential. That leaves young players Jon Leuer and Luke Harongody to battle for a roster spot, with the edge going to Leuer because of his advanced perimeter skills for his size.
Bottom line:
The Cavs will be very young and small. They lack big play potential. Inexperienced players Thompson and Waiters will have to score for this team and take pressure off Irving, who will undoubtedly be on double duty as the team’s leading passer AND scorer. The team will probably have a bottom dwelling defense once again (26th in points allowed, 100.2 ppg) and after losing Antwan Jamison, at best, they will remain scoring in the middle 90s, if not fall off to the low 90s or high 80s.
Beyond Irving, there is nothing guaranteed about this team. They could overachieve and finish 9th in the east or struggle mightily and falter to 15th. It all depends on the coaching job by Byron Scott and the development of their young roster around Irving, who is also, let us not forget, in just his second season.
Preseason expectations, grade:
C-
Irving will probably be the best player in the league left out of the playoffs while the team around him earns another lottery pick, although they should improve upon last season’s .318 winning percentage.
4. Detroit Pistons (’11-’12 record: 25-41)
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